STOCK MARKET RECAP MARCH 2026
The stock market has fallen by about 6% over the last month. The war in the Middle East has driven up the price of oil and created global economic uncertainty.
The chart below shows the price trends for the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq over the last month and since the end of October 2025.
Prices were basically flat from the end of October until the end of February. You can see the drop in prices over the last few weeks. The Nasdaq has dropped slightly more than the S&P 500.

Where prices go from here is totally dependent upon the situation in Iran.
In the last few days, the stock market has inched higher. The market is currently optimistic that the war will be ending soon and that oil prices will retreat.
The situation is very volatile, and the market is responding daily to the headlines.
The underlying economic drivers beyond the war remain. Economic data continues to be mixed. Employment data has been volatile – good one month and bad the next. Inflation continues to run above the Fed’s goal of 2% but it has been stable. If oil prices remain high, inflation will increase.
At this point, all we can do is hope for a fast and peaceful resolution to the war in Iran. Those of you who invest with my system can take comfort that your savings will be protected if things get ugly.
Stay Disciplined My Friends,
Phil
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