STOCK MARKET RECAP APRIL 2026
Just one month ago we were dealing with a declining stock market due to the fallout from the war in the Middle East. The stock market was down about 6%.
On April 1st, the market reversed that trend and has since climbed 13%. All the major market indices have risen to new all-time highs.

At the beginning of April, Wall Street began to look past the situation in the Middle East.
Even though the Strait of Hormuz is still closed, the market is expecting it to open very soon. Oil prices remain high, but the expectation is that they will fall rapidly once the Strait is reopened.
When we look at the wider trend since last October, we were stuck in a flat cycle until early March. It then looked like the trend broke in a downward move – only to be reversed by the latest move higher in April.
I expect continued volatility until ships can traverse the Strait freely. Wall Street does not care about the war, only the movement of oil and other products through the Strait.
Bullishness about corporate earnings is the big driver behind the recent market increases. Corporate earnings saw above average increases last year and the market is expecting even higher profit growth in 2026.
Tech stocks have led the recent stock market rally. Semiconductor stocks increased by 30% over the last month even with yesterday’s pullback.
Important inflation readings will be released soon. The focus will be on core inflation excluding energy prices. The Fed is expected to hold steady on interest rates this week.
Stay Disciplined My Friends,
Phil
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